Ottumwa – The Bulldogs clinch a playoff berth with a win at Des Moines Hoover. They would be the #4 seed out of Class 4A Division 3, and would travel to play Waukee, the #1 seed in Division 4. If Ottumwa loses at Hoover, they would be eliminated from playoff contention.
NOTE: an Ottumwa win over Hoover and a Mason City loss to Ankeny Centennial would let the Bulldogs tie the Mohawks for 3rd place in the division, but Mason City would get the higher seed based on their head-to-head win over OHS.
Davis County – The Mustangs clinch a playoff berth with a win at home against C-M-B. If they win, and Bondurant-Farrar beats Prairie City-Monroe, Davis County would be the #3 seed out of Class 2A District 6. If DC wins, and PCM beats B-F, all three teams would tie for 2nd place. Neither DC nor PCM can catch B-F in point differential, so B-F still would get the #2 seed. For DC to get the #3 seed, their margin of victory over C-M-B would have to be at least five points higher than PCM’s margin of victory over B-F, AND PCM could not beat B-F by more than eight points. As a #3 seed, DC would play at either Mid-Prairie or West Liberty; as a #4 seed, DC would play at Mediapolis.
If Davis County loses to C-M-B, they would be eliminated from playoff contention if PCM beats B-F (C-M-B would tie DC for 4th and have the head-to-head tiebreaker). If DC loses to C-M-B, and PCM also loses, all three would be tied for 3rd place. If DC loses to C-M-B by nine or less, they will stay ahead of C-M-B in point differential, allowing DC to hang onto at least the #4 seed in a three-way tie. DC would pass PCM in point differential if DC’s margin of defeat was five points less than PCM’s, AND if DC did not lose by more than eight points.
Van Buren – The Warriors clinch a playoff berth, and the #4 seed out of Class A District 5, with a win at Danville. They would travel to play the #1 seed in District 6, either Pekin or B-G-M. A loss would eliminate Van Buren from playoff contention.
NOTE: the WACO-Highland game will have no bearing on Van Buren. If WACO wins, they get the 3rd seed, while Highland would fall a game behind Van Buren and out of the playoffs if the Warriors also win. If Highland beats WACO and Van Buren wins, all three schools would be tied for 3rd, but Highland would get the #3 seed by virtue of having beaten the other two. Van Buren then would get the #4 seed by virtue of its win over WACO earlier this season.
Albia – The Blue Demons have clinched the #1 seed out of Class 2A District 6. They will host Louisa-Muscatine in the first round.
Centerville – The Big Reds have clinched a playoff berth. If they upset Washington at home, they get the #3 seed out of Class 3A District 7 and a road game at Oskaloosa in the first round. If Centerville loses to Washington, and Keokuk loses to Fort Madison, the Big Reds will finish tied for 3rd with Fairfield, but end up as the #4 seed on head-to-head tiebreaker and have to travel to Pella for a first-round game.
If Centerville loses, but Keokuk wins, those two schools and Fairfield finish in a 3-way tie for 3rd place. However, Centerville cannot fall below the other two in point differential, so the Big Reds would get the #3 seed in this scenario.
Eddyville-Blakesburg-Fremont – The Rockets have clinched the #3 seed out of Class 1A District 6. They will travel to Guttenberg to face Clayton Ridge in the first round.
Fairfield – The Trojans have finished district play (they end the season with a non-district game at Chariton). If Centerville loses to Washington and Keokuk loses to Mount Pleasant, Fairfield will get the #3 seed out of Class 3A District 7 and a road game at Oskaloosa in the first round. If Centerville wins and Keokuk loses, Fairfield will get the #4 seed and play at Pella.
If Centerville loses and Keokuk wins, those two schools and Fairfield finish in a 3-way tie for 3rd place. Fairfield cannot catch Centerville in point differential, but cannot fall below Keokuk, so the Trojans would get the #4 seed in this scenario. The only way Fairfield is eliminated from playoff contention is if both Centerville and Keokuk win; Fairfield would end in a tie for 4th with Keokuk, and the Chiefs have the head-to-head tiebreaker.
Oskaloosa – The Indians have clinched the #2 seed out of Class 3A District 8. They will play at home in the first round against either Centerville or Fairfield.
Pekin – The Panthers have clinched a playoff berth. If the beat B-G-M, they will earn the #1 seed out of Class A District 6. If Pekin loses to B-G-M, they will settle for the #2 seed. Either way, the Panthers will play a home game in the first round against Van Buren, Highland or WACO.
Sigourney/Keota – For the Savage Cobras to have any chance at the playoffs, they have to upset #1 Iowa City Regina at home, AND West Branch would have to lose at home to Cardinal. Any other results will eliminate Sigourney/Keota from playoff contention.
Twin Cedars – The Sabers have clinched a playoff berth. They would earn the #2 seed out of Eight-Man District 5 with a win at Tri-County, and a win by H-L-V at Wayne. If Twin Cedars loses and Wayne wins, the Sabers would be the #3 seed.
If Twin Cedars wins by 13 or more, AND Wayne beats H-L-V by 13 or more, all three school would finish tied for 1st place, and all three would have the exact same point differential. The tiebreaker in the rules at this point is the alphabet; in 2013, the team listed LAST alphabetically gets top priority, so Wayne would be 1st, Twin Cedars 2nd and H-L-V 3rd.
As either the #2 or #3 seed, Twin Cedars will play either Lamoni or Murray, with the Sabers playing at home as the #2, but on the road as the #3.